Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.000855 0.000919 0.000986 0.001063 0.001148 0.001239 0.001346
2026-02-08 0.000745 0.000830 0.000923 0.001035 0.001167 0.001316 0.001502
2026-02-15 0.000686 0.000783 0.000895 0.001033 0.001202 0.001404 0.001667
2026-02-22 0.000635 0.000738 0.000861 0.001017 0.001215 0.001460 0.001792
2026-03-01 0.000586 0.000692 0.000820 0.000987 0.001204 0.001482 0.001873
2026-03-08 0.000551 0.000660 0.000793 0.000972 0.001210 0.001522 0.001977
2026-03-15 0.000521 0.000631 0.000769 0.000957 0.001212 0.001557 0.002075
2026-03-22 0.000481 0.000588 0.000723 0.000910 0.001168 0.001523 0.002070
2026-03-29 0.000458 0.000565 0.000702 0.000894 0.001165 0.001547 0.002149
2026-04-05 0.000447 0.000557 0.000699 0.000903 0.001197 0.001621 0.002311
2026-04-12 0.000431 0.000542 0.000688 0.000899 0.001208 0.001665 0.002429
2026-04-19 0.000446 0.000569 0.000733 0.000978 0.001346 0.001910 0.002900
2026-04-26 0.000421 0.000540 0.000702 0.000946 0.001321 0.001905 0.002959
2026-05-03 0.000400 0.000517 0.000679 0.000925 0.001309 0.001920 0.003057
2026-05-10 0.000387 0.000505 0.000669 0.000923 0.001327 0.001987 0.003255
2026-05-17 0.000371 0.000488 0.000652 0.000909 0.001325 0.002019 0.003392
2026-05-24 0.000353 0.000467 0.000628 0.000883 0.001302 0.002011 0.003449
2026-05-31 0.000340 0.000453 0.000613 0.000870 0.001298 0.002038 0.003578
2026-06-07 0.000328 0.000439 0.000598 0.000857 0.001293 0.002062 0.003703
2026-06-14 0.000309 0.000415 0.000568 0.000817 0.001239 0.001991 0.003618
2026-06-21 0.000299 0.000403 0.000554 0.000803 0.001232 0.002006 0.003722
2026-06-28 0.000294 0.000399 0.000554 0.000811 0.001262 0.002095 0.004005
2026-07-05 0.000287 0.000391 0.000546 0.000807 0.001270 0.002142 0.004199